THE FORECAST DESK
AI TOOLS, WATCHED DAILY AT 09:00 BEIJING — YOUR OVERNIGHT · GRADED IN PUBLIC

Corrections

APPEND-ONLY. DISPUTES HANDLED IN PUBLIC WITHIN 48 HOURS. THE OLD VERSION STAYS REACHABLE.

A desk that grades other people’s businesses in public has to grade its own mistakes the same way. Every correction is dated and permanent. A verdict caused by a script bug gets a “Correction to a Verdict” appended — the original is never edited.

COR-0001 · FILED 2026-07-16 · CORRECTED

Entry price shown as $2.42/mo (readings dated 2026-07-05 through 2026-07-16)

Instrument error, our side. The price parser matched a dollar figure near the word 'annually' and divided it by 12. The bad readings are quarantined and the last verified price ($9/mo, read 2026-07-04) is restored with its date. A sanity gate now quarantines any overnight price swing above 60% that has no confirmed event on tape. The wrong readings stay in this ledger — that is the point of the ledger.

PAGE: /tools/photoai/

COR-0003 · FILED 2026-07-16 · CORRECTED

Five traction figures contradicted by their own cited sources: OpusClip shown as $10.3M ARR / $68M raised (Sacra states $20M revenue 2025 / $50M raised); Submagic 4M+ users (source states 1M+); Aragon 2M users (founder interview states 1.3M+); Supermemory $3M raised (TechCrunch states $2.6M); BetterPic bootstrapped to $3M (announcement says $3.2M projected)

Found during a source-by-source audit on 2026-07-16: every cited source was re-fetched and the on-page figure compared against it. Where our roster disagreed with its own source, the source wins. All five figures now match what their sources actually say. This is what the source links on every page are for — they let you catch us.

PAGE: / (multiple boards)

COR-0002 · FILED 2026-07-16 · CORRECTED

Death rule stated as '3 unreachable days → confirmed dead, no exceptions'

That overstated the rule we actually run. The real rule, now stated everywhere: 3 consecutive silent days puts a board on the docket; a death is confirmed only after we rule out our own instrument (see the VOID ledger — it has two entries precisely because our instrument does fail). Days our instrument fails never advance anyone's clock.

PAGE: /docket/

Readings currently under review

THE SANITY GATE QUARANTINES IMPLAUSIBLE READINGS INSTEAD OF PUBLISHING THEM. EACH ONE IS EITHER CONFIRMED (AND RESTORED WITH A DATED EVENT) OR CORRECTED HERE.

BoardReadingDatesPublished insteadWhy held
r005$992026-07-05 → 2026-07-16$384swing >60% overnight with no confirmed event on tape
r006$2.422026-07-05 → 2026-07-16$9swing >60% overnight with no confirmed event on tape
r021$792026-07-04 → 2026-07-16$19swing >60% overnight with no confirmed event on tape
r025$52026-07-04 → 2026-07-15$2.5swing >60% overnight with no confirmed event on tape

Dispute a number

If you’re cited on this site and a number is wrong, write to the address on the contact page with the page URL and your evidence. Response within 48 hours, handled on this page — not in private.

— FILED BY F., CLERK ON DUTY
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