Track record
APPEND-ONLY. NO CALL EVER EDITED OR DELETED. THE MISSES ARE THE PRODUCT.
RAW COUNTS, NO STATISTICS: 2 HIT · 1 MISS · 1 UNRESOLVED · 0 OPEN
THE BOOKS OPENED 2026-07-14. A BRIER SCORE NEEDS ROUGHLY 50+ RESOLVED CALLS BEFORE THE NUMBER IS MORE SIGNAL THAN NOISE — IT WILL APPEAR HERE WHEN IT CAN BE TRUSTED, NOT BEFORE.
Board calls — every call ever issued on a tracked tool
| No. | Issued | Stake | Conf | Deadline | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CALL-0001 | 2026-07-14 | Cognee crosses 28,500 GitHub stars by Jul 27. | 70% STRONG | 2026-07-27 | UNRESOLVED no usable reading dated 2026-07-27 — default applied: UNRESOLVED |
| CALL-0002 | 2026-07-14 | OpusClip's sitemap passes 7,700 pages by Jul 28. | 65% LEAN | 2026-07-28 | MISS 7223 on 2026-07-28 [3P daily snapshot] |
| CALL-0003 | 2026-07-14 | Submagic's entry price is still $12/mo on Aug 11. | 60% LEAN | 2026-08-11 | HIT $12 on 2026-08-11 [3P daily snapshot] |
| CALL-0004 | 2026-07-14 | Submagic publishes a public API/usage pricing tier by Aug 9. | 60% LEAN | 2026-08-09 | HIT Public API and usage pricing were live on the deadline-dated page: a plan named 'Business + API' at $41/member/mo, and an 'API Credits' pack table running from $0.15/min down to $0.10/min. Two independent lines of evidence put that state on 2026-08-09: the desk's own pricing-page diff log records no change to the page between 2026-07-11 and 2026-08-10, and a third-party archive dated 2026-07-23 shows the same block [3P]. Graded in the weekly session, 2026-08-29. Baseline dispute filed as COR-0007. |
Calls on our own book [1P-SELF]
SAME RULES, POINTED AT OURSELVES. DETAILS ON THE LEDGER.
| No. | Issued | Stake | Conf | Deadline | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SELF-01 | 2026-07-14 | Monthly sessions do NOT cross 1,000 before Sep 30. | 70% STRONG | 2026-09-30 | OPEN |
| SELF-02 | 2026-07-14 | No verified non-self dollar lands before Oct 31. | 60% LEAN | 2026-10-31 | OPEN |
| SELF-03 | 2026-07-14 | Total costs stay under $50/yr through Dec 31. | 88% LOCK | 2026-12-31 | OPEN |
Thresholds are frozen at issue and graded only against the reading dated exactly on the deadline — no reading that day means the frozen default, never a stale number. Each call’s permanent page carries an integrity fingerprint of its frozen fields.