AI TOOLS, WATCHED DAILY AT 09:00 BEIJING — YOUR OVERNIGHT · GRADED IN PUBLIC

Track record

APPEND-ONLY. NO CALL EVER EDITED OR DELETED. THE MISSES ARE THE PRODUCT.

RAW COUNTS, NO STATISTICS: 0 HIT · 0 MISS · 0 UNRESOLVED · 4 OPEN

THE BOOKS OPENED 2026-07-14. A BRIER SCORE NEEDS ROUGHLY 50+ RESOLVED CALLS BEFORE THE NUMBER IS MORE SIGNAL THAN NOISE — IT WILL APPEAR HERE WHEN IT CAN BE TRUSTED, NOT BEFORE.

The ledger — every call ever issued

No.	Issued	Stake	Conf	Deadline	Verdict
CALL-0001	2026-07-14	Cognee crosses 28,500 GitHub stars by Jul 27.	70% STRONG	2026-07-27	OPEN
CALL-0002	2026-07-14	OpusClip's sitemap passes 7,700 pages by Jul 28.	65% LEAN	2026-07-28	OPEN
CALL-0003	2026-07-14	Submagic's entry price is still $12/mo on Aug 11.	60% LEAN	2026-08-11	OPEN
CALL-0004	2026-07-14	Submagic publishes a public API/usage pricing tier by Aug 9.	60% LEAN	2026-08-09	OPEN

Thresholds are frozen at issue by the build script and graded against the same day’s instrument reading. We couldn’t fudge a verdict without leaving fingerprints — the git history is the audit trail.